Posts Tagged ‘Ozzie Newsome’

The Double-Edged Sword of High Expectations

Posted by darnold on Tuesday, August 24th, 2010

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“If you don’t expect too much from me, you might not be let down”

One simple lyric from a nearly 20-year old rock song can sum up the way many Ravens fans are feeling these days. We Baltimoreans relish the role of the underdog, and we feel most comfortable when our teams do the same. For nearly the entirety of their existence, the Ravens have been all too happy to oblige us in the “us against the world” mentality. Sure, WE always expect our team to do well, but we’ll be damned if we’re going to let on that fact to “them.” We prefer to carry any optimism we may have very close to the vest.

And so, when we find the Ravens garnering the amount of positive national attention that they have been since their 2009 season unceremoniously crashed to the ground in Indianapolis, we become a bit…uneasy. There are a few reasons for this. On top of the aforementioned underdog fetish (or what some may call an inferiority complex), there is the fact that, under the previous regime anyway, the Ravens have always been much more likely to do prove prognosticators wrong than to inspire a chorus of “I told you so’s.”

On the way to the franchise’s only Super Bowl, Brian Billick’s team won two road playoff games, including victories in Oakland’s “Black Hole,” and Nashville’s Adelphia Coliseum, the latter in which they were, to that point, the only road team to ever win a game.

Long live the Baltimore Underdogs.

When they were expected to be dominant though, Billick’s teams were seemingly delighted to disappoint. Following their AFC North Titles in 2003 and 2006, they were quickly dismissed from the Playoffs, both times at M&T Bank Stadium and both times without recording a single postseason victory. In the seasons that followed each of those playoff losses, seasons in which they were expected to be in contention for defenses of their Division Crowns, they proceeded to post disappointing records of 9-7 and 5-11, respectively.

Enough of the quick history refresher course though. Let’s talk about how this relates to our 2010 Ravens.

  • Joe Flacco has led the team to the postseason in each of his first two years under center. He has done so with a less-than-stellar receiving corps. Traditional wisdom says that an NFL QB’s 3rd season is the one in which he really starts to grasp the speed and complexities of the game.
  • We acquired a true #1 wide receiver in Anquan Boldin. While Boldin is not the “deep threat” that has been missing from this offense for years, another guy that the Ravens picked up, Donte Stallworth, could be just that.
  • Ray Rice is, by all accounts, on the verge of absolute superstardom. Along with Willis McGahee and Le’Ron McClain, the Ravens have one of the most potent ground attacks in the league.
  • Defensive Coordinator Greg Mattison seemed to finally figure things out during the second half of 2009, and the Ravens’ defense, despite perceived struggles throughout the year, finished #3 overall.

Add all these things together, and you get what may be the highest pre-season expectations…well, EVER for a Ravens team. And not just locally. National publications are all over the Ravens in 2010, and we fans have, of course, been quick to take note. We are proud to see our team getting some high-profile respect. We love Ray Rice being ranked in the Top 5 of “Fantasy” running backs. We beam when John Madden talks about how impressed he is with Joe Flacco.

But, in the back of our minds, many of us are still uncomfortable with all the love. Which is a big reason why, when our first-team offense comes out and struggles a bit, as they have so far during the first two preseason games, many of us find ourselves being magnetically pulled to that figurative “cliff.”

Usually, I tend to be the one trying to talk Ravens fans back from that cliff. This time, though, one of the reasons I’ve yet to weigh in on Saturday’s Redskins game is that I am unfortunately feeling that same gravitational pull to the edge that, judging by the callers to local sports-talk stations, many Ravens fans are.

In a “normal” year, things like the offense going 0-for-5 on 3rd downs, or the starting linebackers getting absolutely torched in coverage, in preseason games, would be cause for concern, but by no means a reason to hit the panic button.

This year, though, the curse of high expectations makes those weaknesses appear to be all the more glaring.

“We’ll never win a Super Bowl with these bums around Ray! Heath Miller and Jermaine Gresham will kill us!”

“Why does Flacco STILL keep checking down so much?”

“What in the world happened to Michael Oher? Isn’t this guy supposed to be good?!”

Those are the kinds of things Ravens fans were screaming at their televisions Saturday night.

In the days since, I’ve found myself torn between agreeing with this kind of knee-jerk, reactionary (and sometimes alcohol-induced) hyperbole and with trying to remind myself that we really can take nothing from preseason football games. Hell, the Bills torched the Colts last week (with both teams’ starters on the field).

Again, I think it’s the expectations getting the better of me. In our stubborn (and usually unrequited) love of the underdog role, we take the defensive mechanism of talking ourselves into the notion that our team probably isn’t as good as everybody says.

If we don’t expect too much, we might not be let down.

Hopefully, the day is coming when these kinds of expectations are par for the course in Baltimore. As much as we despise the Pittsburghs, Indianapolises, and New Englands of the world, their fans have learned to deal with being preseason favorites long ago. That is the kind of culture that Ozzie Newsome and John Harbaugh are trying to build around here, and it would be great if it became common enough that we all just got used to it. That day obviously isn’t here yet. And in the end, all the predictions and prognostications go straight out the window once the opening kick of the season is in the air.

My suggestions, then, for my fellow Ravens fans and myself, are these:

  • Don’t buy into the hype. Make the team prove something before you label them as contenders or busts.
  • Recognize the weaknesses in the team, but also remember that this really is still the preseason. Until the games count, many of these guys just aren’t wired mentally to do anything more than go through the motions. Remember that the coaches are using these games to evaluate, and they too are careful of how much they are revealing.
  • Get excited about the strengths too. That 21-yard completion from Flacco to Boldin on Saturday was a pretty play, and there are plenty more like it where that came from.
  • Find something productive to do between now and September 13. Get your mind off the purple and black. The time for pulling out your hair isn’t until the games start to count.

I’ll try my best to abide by these. I hope you will too.

Latest NFL Mock Drafts – One Week Out

Posted by darnold on Thursday, April 15th, 2010

I think we’ve all had just about as much of the bad news from “Birdland” (more like Turdland, amright?) as we can stand for the moment, so let’s turn our attention now to “Ravenstown” instead. You know, that other team in B’More that actually tries (and succeeds) to win every now and again.

There is just one week remaining until the first round of the 2010 NFL Draft, and that means it’s time for the final mock draft round-up. (Find our previous round-ups here, here, and here.)

Let’s get to the picks, shall we?

ESPN’s Mel Kiper and Todd McShay (they agree) (subscription required)

Demaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech

Kiper says: The Ravens have made moves to add help for Joe Flacco, but drafting a young WR that can grow with Flacco is still an important consideration. Thomas is a big, physical home run threat, and even this high, may have been undervalued because he was stuck in a running system at Tech. He’s the perfect downfield target for Flacco’s big arm, a guy who can make plays even when the defense knows it’s coming.

McShay says: Baltimore has a reputation for cashing in on the best available player and this is another opportunity to do so. Thomas would be a steal here given his size/speed combination and give QB Joe Flacco another dangerous weapon to go with offseason acquisitions Anquan Boldin and Donte’ Stallworth.

My take: Thomas is an intriguing option. However, Ozzie Newsome may be a bit gun-shy about taking first-round WRs at this point, after missing on Travis Taylor and Mark Clayton, both of whom were/are decent, but never developed into the kind of talent you would like to see a first-rounder become. To borrow a phrase from Ray Lewis, bottom line is, Ozzie and the Ravens’ front office have been MUCH more successful evaluating talent at other positions.

One of the knocks on Thomas is that he struggles to run block, despite playing in a running system at Georgia Tech. Scouts, Inc. says that “it’s alarming how poor of a run blocker he is for his size. His angles are atrocious at times and he looks lost far too often.” The Ravens, even if they added Thomas, are likely to still be a run-first team. However, playing for a few years with a guy that takes such pride in his run blocking as Anquan Boldin could do wonders for the kid in this respect.

When it comes right down to it, I just don’t see the Ravens going WR in the first round. Think about it – last year, these mock drafts all had the Ravens taking a WR too. Ozzie didn’t do it then, so why would he do it now, after an offseason in which he added Anquan Boldin and Dante Stallworth, and locked up Derrick Mason for at least another season? I do think the Ravens will take a WR at some point in the draft, but not in the first round.

CBS Sports’ Rob Rang

Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State

Even with the addition of Anquan Boldin, the Ravens won’t hesitate to select a talented receiver should he be the best player available. General manager Ozzie Newsome has developed a reputation for finding superstars in the latter portions of the first round. If he can get over Dez Bryant’s questionable professionalism, Newsome might just discover another star. Some veteran scouts have compared Bryant to Randy Moss.

My take: Alright, so you remember all that stuff I said about wide receivers in the draft regarding Demaryius Thomas? Throw it all right out the window if Dez Bryant is still on the board at #25. He is listed as the #12 overall prospect in the draft by Scouts, Inc., and if he falls this far, Ozzie and Co. would no doubt have to break their “best player available” rule to pass him up. On the field, Bryant is incredible, and there is absolutely no reason he should fall to the bottom of the first round. The questions arise regarding some off the field issues – he was suspended for the final 10 games of the 2009 season for lying to NCAA investigators regarding his relationship with former Raven Deion Sanders.

For comparison’s sake, Kiper and McShay have Bryant going at #7 and #21, respectively. I really do think this is a case where the Ravens would overlook the potential negatives in Bryant’s personality and select him in a heartbeat if he was there. I just don’t see any scenario in which he is still available by the time the purple and black are on the clock. Some team in the top 24 will give the kid from Oklahoma State a shot. It’s a pipe dream to think the Ravens could get him without trading up significantly.

CBS Sports’ Chad Reuter, Pete Prisco, and Clark Judge (all in agreement)

Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State

Reuter says: The loss of Dwan Edwards and Justin Bannan means Odrick would step in right away to help NT Haloti Ngata free up Ray Lewis to do his thing.

Prisco says: The more and more you hear, the more this one makes sense

Judge says: A vastly underrated defensive tackle who shouldn’t last this long. The Ravens are all about defense, and he helps them … or anyone … in the middle.

My take: Reuter makes a valid point about the losses of Edwards and Bannan. However, he neglects to mention that the Ravens also added Cory Redding to the roster. Defensive tackle is a position at which the Ravens seem to consistently have adequate depth. Adding a guy like Odrick could certainly bolster the line, but at what cost? Scouts, Inc. has him ranked as the #28 talent on the board, so what are the chances that he will fit the Ravens “best player” motto? Not to mention that DT Haloti Ngata is due for a new contract after this season, and having that much money (Ngata’s contract plus first round money to Odrick, should they draft him) tied up in one position might not be the wisest course of action, NFL collective bargaining agreement issues aside. Especially on a team that is realizing that their offense is what has been holding them back over the last several years, not the defense.

While a purple-clad Odrick would make the local Penn State fans happy, again, I just don’t see it.

NFL.com’s Bucky Brooks

Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama

The Ravens need to fortify their interior defense after losing Justin Bannan and Dwan Edwards in free agency. Cody gives the team a mammoth nose tackle that is nearly impossible to move off the ball. He teams with Haloti Ngata to form an impenetrable wall at the point of attack.

My take: Cody seems even less likely than Odrick to me. In addition to all the issues I mentioned above, “Mount Cody” comes with some weight and work ethic issues that make him even more of a stretch in my mind. Scouts, Inc. puts him at #48(!) on their board, so unless Ozzie & Co. see something extremely special in this guy that nobody else really seems to (hey, it’s happened before), this pick seems just as likely to happen on Saturday, if at all, as it does on Thursday night.

Fox Sports’ Peter Schrager:

Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma

The Ravens’ five 2010 draft picks are: first round (25th overall), second round (57th), fifth round (156th and 157th) and sixth round (194th). The Ravens traded their third- and fourth-round picks to Arizona for Anquan Boldin and their seventh-round pick went to Tampa Bay in a 2009 trade for defensive end Marques Douglas. With just five picks, look for Baltimore to focus on finding players that can both contribute right away and fill glaring needs. Gresham is the top tight end talent in this draft. Add him into the mix with recently acquired wideouts Anquan Boldin and Donte Stallworth, and watch Joe Flacco’s passing numbers reach new heights.

My take: We’ve already covered Gresham extensively – click here for the all-Gresham mock draft round up from last month.

Closing thoughts: Out of eight mock drafts, we have 3 experts seeing the Ravens go WR, 4 that say DT, and now just 1 guessing TE. I definitely didn’t start writing this blog planning to shoot down what every single “expert” had to say, it just kind of worked out that way. I have to say, it seems like these guys haven’t even been watching the way Ozzie Newsome and the Ravens’ front office operates over the last 14 years. I don’t profess to know any better than they do what the Ravens will do, but these guys don’t have a very good track record overall of predicting ANY picks, let alone those of the Ravens.

Additionally, I find it very hard to believe that none of these guys are mocking a cornerback to the Ravens at #25. A guy like Patrick Robinson or Kyle Wilson could give the Ravens some much needed depth at CB, and they seem infinitely more likely to me than a guy like Terrence Cody.

I realize that I’ve done all this critiquing of others’ picks without offering one of my own. Just for craps and giggles, I’ll go on record with this prediction: The Ravens either trade back from #25, or take Gresham.

What say you?

Anquan Boldin: Raven

Posted by darnold on Friday, March 5th, 2010

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Breaking news late this afternoon has the Ravens trading their 3rd and 4th-round draft picks in this year’s Draft to the Arizona Cardinals for wide receiver Anquan Boldin and a 5th round pick. Adam Schefter of ESPN has reported that the Ravens and Boldin have already agreed on a new 4-year deal for $28 million dollars.

Anquan Boldin. A name that has been tossed around in Baltimore for what seems like forever. Now, finally, it is a reality. Entering this offseason, wide receiver was at the top of the Ravens’ list of priorities, as it seemingly has been since Michael Jackson and Derrick Alexander departed Charm City. They started to address the issue last month with the signing of Donte Stallworth – but they obviously weren’t finished their work just by signing a guy who hasn’t played since 2008, and only caught 17 balls that year. Many of the mock drafts had the Ravens picking a wide receiver in April, whether Brandon Lafell, Arrelious Benn, or Golden Tate. Last week some had the Ravens VERY interested in (ugh) T.O., and rumors this week had them looking into Texans’ free agent WR Kevin Walter. Then there were the omnipresent rumblings about Bronco Brandon Marshall.

Early this afternoon, I saw Aaron Wilson of the Carroll County Times was reporting that the Patriots were the leaders in the clubhouse in the Boldin sweepstakes, with the Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs out of the running. Wilson’s source proved to be mistaken over the next couple hours though, as many, including Wilson, began tweeting that the Pats had ducked out, and the Ravens were now the favorites to land Boldin.

Personally, I believed that Boldin would wind up wearing another shade of red in 2010, in Kansas City. With a bidding war supposedly going on in the desert, I definitely expected it to take AT LEAST a second round pick to acquire Boldin. If this was the case, I figured that Ozzie would go ahead and give up the chase.

Obviously, I was sorely mistaken. Why Kansas City and New England, if they were indeed interested, would not be willing to give up a 3rd and 4th-round pick, as the Ravens were, is beyond me. Whatever. Their loss. Let’s look at what the Ravens have gained.

Boldin’s Bio:

Boldin

Photo: Associated Press

Name: Anquan Kenmile Boldin
DOB: 10/3/80 (29 years old)
Height: 6’1″
Weight: 217 lb
College: Florida State Seminoles
Drafted: 2003 Round 2 (#54 overall) by the Arizona Cardinals

Career stats, from NFL.com:

Boldin Stats

One concern with Boldin is regarding his health. As you can see above, he has played in all 16 games just twice in his seven year career. It is not a matter of toughness, that’s for sure. In 2008, Boldin’s face EXPLODED in a game against the New York Jets. He needed surgery to repair the bones in his face, but missed only TWO games. No, Boldin’s problem is that he is, perhaps, TOO tough, if anything. He is a guy that seeks out contact, and prefers to be the one delivering the blow if he finds a defender in his way. As a result, he takes a lot of hits, and gets tweaked fairly often as a result.

The other concern some Ravens fans will voice is that Boldin is not the big deep threat that the Ravens really need. While this is true – Boldin is more of a yards-after-the-catch guy (one of the best in the NFL, mind you) – if Stallworth can regain the form that he showed several years ago, he and Boldin could be a very well-matched complimentary pair, with Stallworth providing the vertical threat and Boldin catching balls underneath and racking up the YAC. Throw in the fact that this now frees the Ravens up even more with their 1st-round pick this April – perhaps to draft a pass-catching tight end such as Oklahoma’s Jermaine Grisham – and Joe Flacco could suddenly be a very happy man.

And let’s not forget Derrick Mason. Mason, as long as he doesn’t let his “I’m not the number 1 anymore? Forget that!” diva side get the better of him, and resigns in Baltimore, the Ravens’ overall WR corps will be quite formidable.

Those of you that still aren’t convinced that the Boldin move makes the Ravens an instantly better team – I ask you to simply think back to 2007, when Arizona came to M&T Bank Stadium. The Ravens took a 20-3 halftime lead, and appeared to be on their way to an easy victory. The Cardinals, though, stormed back and nearly won the game – it took a 46-yard field goal from Matt Stover as time expired to preserve the 26-23 win. The main culprit in the Cardinals’ furious comeback was Mr. Boldin, who had 14 catches for 181 yards and 2 touchdowns. Number 81 still has the ability to take over a game, in 2010, like he did in 2007.

I get the feeling that someone, somewhere, is VERY happy about this move…..

Anita Marshall

Also, Boldin once did this….

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which I wouldn’t be sad at all to see him repeat in Pittsburgh one day.